FF FSP point contract eBay Complete price

[Jya-Ning Silver Contributor Find all posts View Profile Close Jya-Ning]

Simple summary 2006 vs 2007

There a more inventories in 2007. At May, it has a lot of buy it now with $10/k. This period (7/2007) does not see that any more. The success bid is almost 3 times of 2007's compare to 2006 the same time. The price is going down. The resort with any SA or potential get hammed. However, all ads that start with low and no reserved get bid and taken.

For 2007 to 2008, I will enter 4 tracking periods (July, Oct, Jan, Apr).

Jya-Ning

[Jya-Ning Silver Contributor Find all posts View Profile Close Jya-Ning]

eBay completed list 10/1/07 - 10/8/07

Completed List 10/1/07 - 10/8/07

Kingsgate (VA)-140k-$810.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/01/07 17:45:00 PDT-two contracts, UDI & converted week 1
Branson At The Meadows (MO)-105k-$395.00-$499.00-$133.80-10/01/07 18:00:00 PDT-MF Paid to Dec, 2007 Oct use year
Smoky Mountains (TN)-210k (EY)-$2,023.02-$499.00-$216.30-10/01/07 18:15:00 PDT-Odd year, Reimbuse MF from July to Dec 2007
Flagstaff (AZ)-154k-$2,900.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/01/07 18:25:00 PDT-
Palm Aire (FL) -63k-$152.50-$499.00-$0.00-10/02/07 17:15:00 PDT-
Sea Gardens (FL)-172k-$1,623.69-$499.00-$0.00-10/02/07 17:15:00 PDT-
Grand Desert (NV)-157.5k-$1,620.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/02/07 17:30:00 PDT-
Nashville (TN)-126k-$730.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/02/07 18:30:00 PDT-
Patriots Place (VA)-154k-$1,251.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/02/07 18:30:00 PDT-
Kingsgate (VA)-77k-$316.02-$450.00-$148.15-10/02/07 19:30:00 PDT-July Usage, Start July 2007
Bonnet Creek (FL)-84k-$1,425.00-$499.00-?-10/03/07 14:34:42 PDT-July Usage, Start July 2007
Nashville (TN)-112k-$560.00-$599.00-$649.00-10/03/07 17:00:00 PDT-Oct Usage, MF Paid to 2008, 2 contracts (28K + 84k)
Branson (MO)-168k (EY)-$651.50-$525.00-$0.00-10/03/07 18:00:00 PDT-Odd year, point and MF start from 2009
Orlando International Resort Club (FL)-126k-$761.10-$499.00-$0.00-10/03/07 18:00:00 PDT-MF Paid to May, 2007
Palm Aire (FL) -126k-$697.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/03/07 18:15:00 PDT-Oct Use Year, buyer Take over MF after Closing
Old Town Alexandria (VA)-105k-$560.00-$499.00-$276.00-10/03/07 18:15:00 PDT-July Usage, Start July 2007
Cypress Palm (FL)-300k-$3,550.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/03/07 18:30:00 PDT-
Mountains (NC)-126k-$305.00-$499.00-$780.00-10/03/07 18:45:00 PDT-MF Paid to Dec, 2007
Mountains (NC)-154k-$405.00-$399.00-$1,200.00-10/03/07 19:00:00 PDT-MF Paid to Dec 2007 
Sea Gardens (FL)-182k-$1,290.00-$499.00-$610.94-10/03/07 20:00:10 PDT-Converted Week #25, MF prepaid 11 month toward 2008 points
Cypress Palm (FL)-63k (EY)-$5.50-$450.00-$0.00-10/03/07 19:30:00 PDT-Even Year, 2008 has 72k points
Cypress Palms (FL)-28k-$140.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/04/07 07:12:02 PDT-Buy It now
Angel Fire (NM)-80.5k (EY)-$177.50-$399.00-$0.00-10/04/07 17:00:00 PDT-Even Year
Nashville (TN)-300k-$1,400.00-$599.00-$745.20-10/04/07 17:15:00 PDT-2Deeds (84K & 216k) July usuage, MF Paid to Dec 2007
Old Town Alexandria (VA)-405k-$3,051.00-$499.00-$998.34-10/04/07 17:30:00 PDT-July usuage, MF Paid to Dec 2007
Nashville (TN)-182k-$1,425.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/04/07 18:30:00 PDT-
Branson Meadows (MO)-105k-$810.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/04/07 18:30:00 PDT-
Sea Gardens (FL)-189k-$1,010.00-$550.00-$664.00-10/04/07 19:50:02 PDT-Converted Week #29 (2B), MF prepaid 11 month toward 2008 points
Palm Aire (FL) -126k-$405.00-$670.00-$144.48-10/05/07 14:00:36 PDT-Oct usage, MF Paid to 2008
Palm Aire (FL) -120K (EY)-$305.00-$499.00-$531.84-10/05/07 17:00:00 PDT-Even Year Converted week 12
SeaWatch Plantation (SC)-203k-$1,825.00-$499.00-$531.84-10/05/07 17:30:00 PDT-July usuage, MF Paid to Dec 2007
Smoky Mountains (TN)-210k (EY)-$885.00-$499.00-$202.62-10/05/07 18:15:00 PDT-Odd Year usuage, MF Paid to Dec 2007
Westwinds (SC)-77k-$102.50-$499.00-$0.00-10/05/07 18:20:00 PDT-
Bay Club II (FL)-154k(EY)-$610.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/05/07 18:30:00 PDT-Odd Year usuage
SeaWatch Plantation (SC)-202k-$1,026.01-$599.00-$262.86-10/06/07 17:00:00 PDT-July Usage 97k, Jan usage 105k, MF paid to Dec 2007
Nashville (TN)-127k-$782.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/06/07 17:45:00 PDT-April Usage
Ocean Walk (FL)-154k(EY)-$1,040.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/06/07 17:45:00 PDT-Even Year
Palm Aire (FL) -175k-$1,275.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/06/07 18:00:00 PDT-
Glade (TN)-483k-$1,351.99-$699.00-$0.00-10/06/07 18:30:00 PDT-4converted week wk 5,17,40, 43, 
Palm Aire (FL) -166k(EY)-$305.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/06/07 18:45:00 PDT-Even Year
Ocean Walk (FL)-280k-$2,803.67-$499.00-$0.00-10/07/07 17:25:00 PDT-
SeaWatch Plantation (SC)-203k-$1,851.00-$499.00-$531.84-10/07/07 18:00:00 PDT-July usuage, MF Paid to Dec 2007
Kingsgate (VA)-280k-$1,776.50-$499.00-$0.00-10/07/07 18:00:00 PDT-2 converted week, Wk 38 (203k) & 1 (77K)
Ocean Blvd (SC)-41k-$510.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/07/07 18:15:00 PDT-
Palm Aire (FL) -105k (EY)-$280.00-$499.00-$240.00-10/07/07 18:15:00 PDT-2007 MF Even Year usage
Kingsgate (VA)-304.5k-$2,140.05-$499.00-$0.00-10/07/07 18:30:00 PDT-
Old Town Alexandria (VA)-203k-$2,100.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/07/07 18:40:00 PDT-
Star Island (FL)-49k-$405.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/07/07 18:45:00 PDT-
Ocean Blvd (SC)-616k-$2,136.00-$285.90-$0.00-10/07/07 19:05:31 PDT-1st time seller, no mention of escow
Nashville (TN)-84k-$199.00-$495.00-$0.00-10/07/07 19:15:00 PDT-July or Oct usage
Kingsgate (VA)-154k-$697.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/07/07 19:45:00 PDT-April Usage
Branson (MO)-84k-$505.00-$250.00-$0.00-10/07/07 20:00:00 PDT-2weeks Banked in RCI, sell by owner also list with a front end agent
Pagosa (CO)-77k-$397.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/08/07 17:30:00 PDT-Converted Wk 46
Westwinds (SC)-28k-$150.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/08/07 18:09:04 PDT-
Bay (Ak)-231k-$2,425.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/08/07 18:30:00 PDT-2 converted week, Wk 32 (154k) & 4 (77K)
Cypress Palm (FL)-126k-$305.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/08/07 18:30:00 PDT-
Branson Meadows (MO)-77k-$410.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/08/07 18:45:00 PDT-April Usage
Flagstaff (AZ)-154k-$2,550.00-$499.00-$0.00-10/08/07 19:00:00 PDT-
Nashville (TN)-154k-$820.00-$445.00-$127.32-10/08/07 19:00:00 PDT-Oct Usage, MF paid to Nov 2007

Jya-Ning

[Jya-Ning Silver Contributor Find all posts View Profile Close Jya-Ning]

Comparsion between 10/2006 and 10/2007

If use (bid price + closing cost)/total points
2007 is avg around $11.96 per 1K (highest $24.61, lowest $3.93, standard deviation 5.00)
2006 is avg around $17.59 per 1K (highest $28.75, lowest $8.99, standard deviation 4.80)

While there are 59 item in eBay got acceptable bid (either no reserve or bid price is over reserve amount) in 2007, there are only 25 in eBay in 2006

I believe at May 2007, there are a lot of lists from Post Card Company that use buy it now with the buy in price close to the Medium in Oct 2007 avg price.

Jya-Ning

[Jya-Ning Silver Contributor Find all posts View Profile Close Jya-Ning]

eBay completed list 1/1/08 - 1/10/08

The eBay inventories has dropped quite a bit at this quarter (Oct, Nov, Dec), then seems like start to climb back.

Branson at Mountain Vista (MO)-154k-$2,383.49-$348.00-$0.00-01/01/08 13:30:00 PST-
Ocean Ridge II (SC)-126k-$1,025.00-$499.00-$356.00-01/02/08 17:45:00 PST-April Usage, MF Paid Jan 2008 to Jun 2008
Sea Gardens (FL)-172k (EOY)-$711.01-$525.00-$516.82-01/02/08 18:00:00 PST-Odd year, Converted Wk 8, MF paid till Dec 2008
Star Island (FL)-49K-$660.00-$499.00-$104.00-01/02/08 18:00:00 PST-MF paid to June 2008
Kona Hawaiian Resort (HI)-231k (EOY)-$3,450.00-$599.00-$242.00-01/02/08 18:45:00 PST-Odd yea, MF paid to June 2008
El Cid (Mexico)-300k-$4,052.77-$499.00-$421.00-01/03/08 18:00:00 PST-July use year, RTU 2031, 300K carry from 2007, MF paid to Jun 2008
Pagosa (CO)-105k-$1,011.00-$499.00-$324.00-01/03/08 18:45:00 PST-MF paid to Aug 2008
Nashville (TN)-126k-$997.00-$499.00-$313.00-01/04/08 18:30:00 PST-MF paid to June 2008
Royal Sea Cliff (HI)-552k-$7,373.00-$599.00-$1,154.00-01/04/08 18:45:00 PST-MF paid to June 2008
Star Island (FL)-98k (EOY)-$631.00-$499.00-$111.00-01/05/08 19:45:00 PST-Even Year, MF Paid 2008
Dolphin's Cove  (CA)-57.5 (EOY)-$515.00-$499.00-$79.56-01/05/08 19:45:00 PST-Even Year, MF Paid March 2008
Bentley Brook (MA)-105k-$1,424.00-?-$0.00-01/06/08 09:52:54 PST-July Use year
Patiorts' Place (VA)-154k-$1,210.00-$399.00-$170.40-01/07/08 17:00:00 PST-MF paid to March,2008
Kingsgate (VA)-77k-$406.99-$499.00-$93.39-01/07/08 17:00:00 PST-MF paid to March,2008
Old Town Alexandria (VA)-52k-$710.00-$399.00-$78.78-01/07/08 17:00:00 PST-MF paid to March,2008
Nashville (TN)-105k-$807.00-$499.00-$267.00-01/07/08 18:30:00 PST-MF paid to June 2008
Bay (Ak)-105k-$1,027.00-$445.00-$131.43-01/07/08 19:00:00 PST-MF paid to March,2008
Palm Aire (FL) -159k-$800.00-$550.00-$899.50-01/07/08 19:00:00 PST-Converted Week 27, MF Paid to Feb, 2008
Star Island (FL)-140k-$1,200.00-$499.00-$304.00-01/07/08 20:05:00 PST-MF paid to June 2008
Palm Aire (FL) -166k-$910.00-$525.00-$967.17-01/08/08 18:00:00 PST-Converted Week #11, MF paid Dec 2008
Branson  (MO)-126K-$517.00-$525.00-$668.76-01/08/08 18:00:00 PST-Apr Use Year, MF paid Dec 2008
Sea Gardens (FL)-182k-$2,100.00-$550.00-$808.64-01/08/08 19:00:00 PST-Converted Week #33, MF paid Dec 2008
Skyline Tower (NJ)-315K-$1,550.00-$499.00-$150.94-01/08/08 19:00:00 PST-MF paid to Jan,2008
St. Thomas At Elysian Beach -112k-$811.01-$499.00-$725.00-01/08/08 21:30:00 PST-MF paid to Dec 2008
Nashville (TN)-84k-$760.00-$499.00-$304.00-01/09/08 18:15:00 PST-Oct Use Year, MF paid to June 2008
Branson  (MO)-308k-$2,400.00-$599.00-$0.00-01/09/08 18:45:00 PST-July use year, 2 contracts
Cypress Palm (FL)-154k(EOY)-$910.00-$499.00-$84.90-01/10/08 17:00:00 PST-Odd Year, MF paid till March 2008

Jya-Ning

[basham Senior Member Find all posts View Profile Close basham]

I imported into an excel spredsheet using - as the character but now am not sure of what the headings are.

For this last message what are they.

Good stuff this historical information.

Regards,

[Jya-Ning Silver Contributor Find all posts View Profile Close Jya-Ning]

I imported into an excel spredsheet using - as the character but now am not sure of what the headings are.
,

Start from post #3
the heading are
Home resort - point number - Winning Bid - Closing Cost - MF (if any) to reimburse - closing date (MM/dd/yy hh:mm:ss) - other


Hopefully, I did maintain them same over these year and change.

Jya-Ning

[GrayFal Silver Contributor and supermoderator Find all posts View Profile Close GrayFal]

Start from post #3
the heading are
Home resort - point number - Winning Bid - Closing Cost - MF (if any) to reimburse - closing date (MM/dd/yy hh:mm:ss) - other


Hopefully, I did maintain them same over these year and change.

Jya-Ning

Thank you - this is a wonderful resource!
Pat

[Jya-Ning Silver Contributor Find all posts View Profile Close Jya-Ning]

Completed List 4/1/08 - 4/7/08

Bay (AR) - 126k - $770.00 - $499.00 - $258.00 - 04/01/08 18:15:00 PDT - MF paid to May
Star Island (FL) - 126k - $928.00 - $499.00 - $0.00 - 04/02/08 17:45:00 PDT - Start Next Year
Palm Aire (FL) - 120k - $766.21 - $499.00 - $349.00 - 04/02/08 17:45:00 PDT - MF paid to June, converted week 13
Branson (MO) - 126k - $784.00 - $499.00 - $323.64 - 04/02/08 18:20:00 PDT - MF paid to June
Nashville (TN) - 475k - $4,650.00 - $499.00 - $1,086.00 - 04/02/08 18:32:00 PDT - MF paid to May
Kingsgate (VA) - 105k - $480.99 - $499.00 - $151.92 - 04/02/08 19:15:00 PDT - MF paid to Apr, No idea What happen to SA
Cypress Palms (FL) - 189k - $1,750.00 - $549.00 - $278.84 - 04/03/08 17:00:00 PDT - MF paid to Apr
Bay (AR) - 77k - $224.50 - $499.00 - $247.00 - 04/03/08 18:07:00 PDT - MF paid to May
Cypress Palms (FL) - 77k - $305.00 - $525.00 - $96.00 - 04/03/08 18:30:00 PDT - MF paid to Apr
Branson Meadows (MO) - 84k - $152.50 - $499.00 - $226.00 - 04/03/08 18:30:00 PDT - MF paid to June
Palm Aire (FL) - 126k (OY) - $512.00 - $445.00 - $0.00 - 04/03/08 19:30:00 PDT - Odd Year
Governor's Green (VA) - 105k - $229.49 - $660.00 - $273.36 - 04/04/08 11:42:39 PDT - MF paid to June
Branson Meadows (MO) - 105k - $172.50 - $499.00 - $278.00 - 04/04/08 18:15:00 PDT - MF paid to June
Palm Aire (FL) - 105k - $635.00 - $499.00 - $0.00 - 04/04/08 18:45:00 PDT - Start Next Year
Grand Desert (NV) - 154k - $1,950.00 - $475.00 - $447.12 - 04/05/08 12:40:44 PDT - MF paid to Aug, Buy it Now
Star Island (FL) - 168K (EY) - $512.99 - $550.00 - $124.32 - 04/05/08 18:00:00 PDT - MF paid to Apr, Even Year
Grand Desert (NV) - 154k (OY) - $925.01 - $499.00 - $168.00 - 04/05/08 18:43:00 PDT - MF paid to June, Odd Year
Branson Meadows (MO) - 84k - $481.00 - $499.00 - $233.00 - 04/05/08 18:45:00 PDT - April use year start, MF cover to June (from Jan)
Palm Aire (FL) - 154k - $1,525.00 - $549.00 - $361.00 - 04/06/08 11:17:57 PDT - MF paid to June, Buy it now
Branson (MO) - 105k - $660.00 - $499.00 - $577.00 - 04/06/08 13:47:08 PDT - MF Paid to Dec
Branson Falls (MO) - 94.5k - $255.00 - $499.00 - $265.00 - 04/06/08 18:00:00 PDT - MF Paid to June
Branson (MO) - 154k - $1,265.00 - $499.00 - $383.82 - 04/06/08 18:21:00 PDT - MF Paid to June
Grand Desert (NV) - 77k - $643.00 - $499.00 - $174.00 - 04/06/08 18:45:00 PDT - MF Paid to June
Long Wharf (RI) - 94.5k - $1.00 - $499.00 - $869.00 - 04/06/08 18:45:00 PDT - MF Paid to Dec
Branson Meadows (MO) - 84k - $399.95 - $348.00 - $0.00 - 04/07/08 14:00:00 PDT - July use year start
Cypress Palms (FL) - 49k - $299.00 - $450.00 - $107.00 - 04/07/08 14:16:23 PDT - MF Paid to June
Branson Meadows (MO) - 105k - $360.00 - $499.00 - $0.00 - 04/07/08 18:10:00 PDT - Start Next Year
Royal Vista  (FL) - 63k - $360.00 - $499.00 - $120.00 - 04/07/08 18:15:00 PDT - MF Paid to Apr
Westwinds (SC) - 77k - $399.00 - $350.00 - $242.00 - 04/07/08 18:30:00 PDT - MF cover to June
Branson Meadows (MO) - 189k - $1,025.00 - $499.00 - $501.78 - 04/07/08 18:42:00 PDT - MF cover to June
Ocean Blvd (SC) - 126k (EY) - $307.09 - $499.00 - $164.00 - 04/07/08 18:43:00 PDT - MF cover to June, Even Year
Branson Meadows (MO) - 49k - $50.00 - $499.00 - $158.10 - 04/07/08 18:45:00 PDT - MF cover to June

Jya-Ning

[Jya-Ning Silver Contributor Find all posts View Profile Close Jya-Ning]

Compare 4/2007 to 4/2008

4/2008 count 7 days, has 32 completed. Avg price is $11.05 per 1k. Standard deviation is 2.90

4/2007 count 10 days has 66 completed contracts. Avg price is $15.92 per 1K. Standard deviation is 5.31

Jya-Ning

ps. I use the (Purchase price + closing cost which include resort transfer fee) / total points

[CarlK Junior Member Find all posts View Profile Close CarlK]

Interesting! So, the average price seems to be dropping and there is less variation in pricing.

Carl

[bnoble Senior Member Find all posts View Profile Close bnoble]

Expressed as a ratio, the variation is more similar than you'd think by looking at only the raw numbers.

[Jya-Ning Silver Contributor Find all posts View Profile Close Jya-Ning]

Comparsion between 10/2006 and 10/2007

If use (bid price + closing cost)/total points
2007 is avg around $11.96 per 1K (highest $24.61, lowest $3.93, standard deviation 5.00)
2006 is avg around $17.59 per 1K (highest $28.75, lowest $8.99, standard deviation 4.80)

While there are 59 item in eBay got acceptable bid (either no reserve or bid price is over reserve amount) in 2007, there are only 25 in eBay in 2006

I believe at May 2007, there are a lot of lists from Post Card Company that use buy it now with the buy in price close to the Medium in Oct 2007 avg price.

Jya-Ning

4/2008 count 7 days, has 32 completed. Avg price is $11.05 per 1k. Standard deviation is 2.90

4/2007 count 10 days has 66 completed contracts. Avg price is $15.92 per 1K. Standard deviation is 5.31

Jya-Ning

ps. I use the (Purchase price + closing cost which include resort transfer fee) / total points

Interesting! So, the average price seems to be dropping and there is less variation in pricing.

Carl

As said, if you look at ratio 2.9/11.05 is about 26%, and 5.31/15.92 is about 33%. The 2008 is only 7 days, 2007 is 10 days. Both are short period. Not a market analyst, so can not say for sure, but I don't believe they are long enough to say it indicates anything.

However, look like the price is down at this moment

Jya-Ning

[bnoble Senior Member Find all posts View Profile Close bnoble]

Hmmm. Wonder if it passes the T-test....

[basham Senior Member Find all posts View Profile Close basham]

However, look like the price is down at this moment

Jya-Ning

I think I have noticed that the activity, number of things offered for sale, is down lately also, since about Oct. 07.

That seems to normally occur prior to Xmas, and then take some months to recover volume.

Seems to be at lower levels at this stage of the year though.

No quantitative measurement, just a general impression.

[Jya-Ning Silver Contributor Find all posts View Profile Close Jya-Ning]

Probably will not pass any test.

With recession around, I will guess buyer is down also. I did notice at 2007, the vloumn looks extreme high.

Will be interesting to see when the tide turn.

Jya-Ning