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Looks like housing market bubble burst!

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  • Looks like housing market bubble burst!

    September 25, 2006
    Home Prices Drop After 11-Year Ascent
    By JEREMY W. PETERS

    The median price of a previously owned home fell for the first time in 11 years last month, and inventories of unsold homes swelled to levels not seen in more than a decade.

    The number of existing homes sold also fell, but by only a small amount, suggesting that the sharp decline in home sales seen earlier this year has leveled off for now.

    The National Association of Realtors reported today that existing home sales dropped 0.5 percent from July to August to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.3 million units. That compares with a decline from June to July of 4.1 percent.

    The median price in August fell to $225,000, down 1.7 percent from August 2005. That was the first time since April 1995 that the national median price was lower than the same month a year before.

    David Lereah, chief economist of the association, said he expects prices to continue to fall. “We do expect an adjustment in home prices to last several months, as we work through a buildup in the inventory of homes on the market,” he said in a written statement. “This is the price correction we’ve been expecting — with sales stabilizing, we should go back to positive price growth early next year.”

    At the end of August, there were enough unsold, previously owned homes on the market that it would take 7½ months to sell them all at the current sales pace. The association said that was a bigger backlog than at any time since April 1993.

    cont'd at:

    http://www.nytimes.com/2006/09/25/bu...rtner=homepage
    "Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies, in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed and those who are cold and are not clothed."
    -- Dwight D. Eisenhower

  • #2
    The Pacific Northwest market is still going strong. The bubble is strong here.

    Hope

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    • #3
      Prices are down on the OBX, but still strong and rising for just inland of the coast, particularly the inland waterways. Beach prices had become unrealistic but the inland prices had stagnated. Now there is some adjustment at both ends, downward at the beach and upward in the near coast area.

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      • #4
        Real estate is not the place to be right now.
        Timeshareforums Shirts and Mugs on sale now! http://www.cafepress.com/ts4ms

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        • #5
          Originally posted by bigfrank View Post
          Real estate is not the place to be right now.
          Will this affect TS sales or resales?

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          • #6
            Will this affect TS sales or resales?
            IMO, yes, especially the higher end units which traditionally sold down into the middle classes, which more often than not used home equity to purchase.

            Overall, happy to see a correction. In our area, prices have quadrupled in the last 4 years (400% increase from 2002) and are unsustainable by the metric of our local economy.

            That said, IMO, real estate is a solid long-term investment. I've never gone wrong owning residential real estate nor investing in REIT's. Long-term means periods of 10 years or more.

            Pat

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